🚴🏻 Another bike-sharing company died in Singapore

SG Bike is closing down, and the winner is...

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Hey Founders,

Welcome to The Runway Ventures, a weekly newsletter where I deep dive into startup mistakes and lessons learned to help you become a better founder.

When I shared about Friendster’s failed story last week, it brought back a lot of the good old memories (I was a big fan of Friendster back then!). If case you missed it, you can read it here!

🚴🏻 Today’s issue is about a bike-sharing company in Singapore. You might have heard of it or used it.

Let’s get to it! 🚀

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Today at a Glance:

  • ☠️ 1 Failed Startup → SG Bike

  • ⚠️ 2 Mistakes → Lack of commercially viable business model

  • 🧠 3 Lessons Learned → Solve problems with a viable business model

  • 🔗 The Runway Insights → The 18 mistakes that kill startups

  • 🤝🏻 The Founders Corner → Should I code to build an MVP?

☠️ 1 Failed Startup: SG Bike

🚀 The Rise of SG Bike

SG Bike, founded in August 2017, is Singapore’s homegrown bike-sharing company. It aims to provide an active and sustainable alternative while helping people move from one place to another easily.

  • The Problem — Despite the convenience of public transport (train, bus) in Singapore, sometimes people struggle to move around the city when the distance is too far to walk and there is no public transport in between.

  • The Solution — SG Bike provides a mobile app where people can rent bicycles by scanning the bicycles’ QR codes and riding around the city.

💟 Guess what? People loved it! It’s cheap, easy to use, mobile, and accessible to many places.

In 2019, SG Bike got the approval from Land Transport Authority (LTA) and successfully acquired Mobile’s license to operate a fleet of 25,000 bicycles, making SG Bike the largest bike-sharing company in Singapore.

From there, SG Bike continues expanding its fleet size and product offerings over the years.

📉 The Fall of SG Bike

Despite being the largest bike-sharing company in Singapore, SG Bike has been facing challenges over the years. On 21 March 2024, SG Bike announced that it will cease operations on 30 April 2024 as it had decided not to renew its operating license. But why?

🚴🏻 Here’s what happened to SG Bike:

  • Jan-Mar 2017Ofo, oBike, Mobike launched in Singapore, introducing a few thousand bicycles onto the roads.

  • August 2017 — SG Bike was launched.

  • March 2018 — In view of the irresponsible use of bicycles by riders, LTA stepped in and implemented new regulations where all bike-sharing companies must:

    • Have licenses to operate their fleet (fleet size is subject to review every 6 months)

    • Implement a QR code-based geo-fencing solution. The geo-fencing solution requires users to scan a QR code at each parking space to ensure proper parking.

  • Oct-Dec 2018 — SG Bike, Ofo, and Mobile received full licenses.

    • Ofo terminated hundreds of employees in Singapore due to “immense” cash flow problems.

  • 2019 — Ofo and Mobike exited the bike-sharing market in Singapore.

    • LTA suspended Ofo’s license as they failed to comply with regulations.

    • Mobike surrendered its bike-sharing license.

    • SG Bike acquired Mobike’s license to operate a fleet of 25,000 bicycles.

  • 2022 — SG Bike had accumulated losses of $7.4 million in FY2022, compared with accumulated losses of $5.5 million in FY2021 and $3.9 million in FY2020.

  • July 2023 — SG Bike reduced its fleet size from 5,000 to 1,500.

    • According to an SG Bike spokesman, this move was mainly due to existing issues around theft and vandalism of its shared bikes, as well as to reconsolidate resources amid the restructuring of the company.

  • March 2024 — SG Bike had decided not to renew its license and will cease operations on 30 April 2024.

    • SG Bike and Anywheel announced that SG Bike users may convert their existing wallet balance to Anywheel.

With SG Bike’s closure, the Singaporean bike-sharing market will now be dominated by Anywheel (30,000 bikes and 1.3 million users) and HelloRide (backed by Alibaba, 10,000 bikes).

Will the bike-sharing market eventually consolidate and be dominated by only these 2 bike-sharing players? We’ll see.

But one thing is for sure — SG Bike has come to the end of its journey.

Want to learn more about SG Bike’s downfall?

⚠️ 2 Mistakes

Mistake 1: Lack of commercially viable business model

While the concept of bike sharing is good, having a clear path to profitability for bike-sharing companies is often very tough due to the business nature itself and high operating costs.

Based on SG Bike’s pricing, it runs on a ride pass subscription and standard pay-per-use with a fee of $0.03/minute for users. In order to grow its revenue, it needs to have more users and its usage among users needs to be sufficiently high and frequent.

If we assume the average daily usage hours is 30 minutes (based on the Singapore-MIT study), the daily revenue per bike is $1 and the monthly revenue per bike is $30.

After factoring in operating costs like manpower, tech, bike maintenance, repositioning of bikes, unfortunate theft and vandalism, it’s very hard to become profitable.

On top of that, when more bikes are deployed, supply becomes higher, and users have more options to choose which bikes to ride, causing the daily usage hours per bike to become lower than 30 minutes → lower revenue per bike.

Mistake 2: Highly regulated and competitive landscape

During the boom in 2017, bike-sharing companies launched thousands of bicycles across the city. While the popularity was high, many abuse cases, theft, vandalism and irresponsible use of bicycles were also reported.

Eventually, LTA stepped in to regulate the ecosystem to make sure bike-sharing companies comply with the regulations.

With a highly regulated and competitive landscape (location-based and price-sensitive), the market became increasingly tough for SG Bike to survive.

🧠 3 Lessons Learned

Lesson 1: Solve problems with a viable business model

At the end of the day, a business is just a hobby if the business can’t generate profits. Unless you have a deep pocket to keep burning and growing at all costs, it’s almost impossible to survive in a competitive market like bike sharing.

🧠 Moral of the story:

Identify a problem, build a solution to solve the problem, and start charging customers with enough profit margin to continue building and expanding the business. Profitability is key.

Lesson 2: Identify potential regulatory changes and manage risks

No one expected that LTA would step in and regulate the whole bike-sharing landscape in Singapore. This is also the reason why Ofo closed down in Singapore as they couldn’t comply with the regulations.

This shows that regulatory changes could be a strong headwind or tailwind to companies. By identifying potential regulatory changes beforehand, this could help prepare you to manage risks ahead.

Lesson 3: Healthy competition

Even though SG Bike and Anywheel are competitors to each other, the arrangement between SG Bike and Anywheel was made with the best interests of their users in mind to ensure the continuity and reliability of bike-sharing services and to ensure minimal disruption to its users in Singapore.

Kudos to SG Bike which did what’s best for its users.

🔗 The Runway Insights

  • The 18 mistakes that kill startups (Link)

  • How we decide what to build (Link)

  • 4 steps to build sustainable moats for your startup (Link)

  • 3 startup lessons from Y Combinator’s Executive Coach (Link)

  • Paul Graham’s advice for future startup founders: “Just learn” (Link)

  • How Reddit got started at YC in 2005 (Link)

🤝🏻 The Founders Corner

This is the place where you can ask me any questions about building a startup. Every week, I’ll pick one question to answer.

Just reply to this email with your burning question. Let’s win together 🤝🏻

Founder’s Question:

I have a startup idea, but I’m not sure if I should hire a freelance developer to build an MVP for me. Should I learn how to code or hire someone to build it for me?

My Thought:

An MVP is a way for you to experiment and validate your hypothesis. Every iteration is a learning process to see if you’re heading towards the right direction.

By that definition, MVP could be done in many forms, including website, product, survey, and user interview.

Should you code to build an MVP? It depends. Most of the time, when you’re getting started, coding is probably the last thing you want to do as it takes too much of your time for an iteration.

Instead, most founders (that I know) built their MVP with no-code platforms, like Webflow, Bubble, Flutterflow, or even Excel.

If you want to learn how to build the right MVP to validate your startup idea with minimum resources and time, I highly recommend watching this YC sharing by Michael Seibel on how to plan an MVP.

🤝🏻 Join our founders community on Discord:

Building a startup is one of the toughest things you can do. Why struggle alone when you have our community to help and support you.

This is the founders community I wished I had when I first started.

That's all for today

Thanks for reading. I hope you enjoyed today's issue. More than that, I hope it has helped you in some ways and brought you some peace of mind.

You can always write to me by simply replying to this newsletter and we can chat.

See you again next week.

- Admond

Disclaimer: The Runway Ventures content is for informational purposes only. Unless otherwise stated, any opinions expressed above belong solely to the author.

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